The Spread

When prediction markets, expert ratings, and fundamentals disagree on the same race — that's where the interesting analysis lives. We compare all three signals and tell you who we think is right.

The Spread
February 26, 2026·1 min read

The Spread: Ohio Senate 2026

Kalshi says 65% Republican. Cook says Lean R. The fundamentals say Toss Up. Here's why they disagree — and who we think is right.

By The Heat Sheet